India is undergoing an energy transition from fossil-based to clean energy. Our quarterly Market Handbook helps identify and analyse trends, present data-backed evidence and connect the dots to present a short-term market outlook.
Key Findings
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The total power generation increased slightly by 0.8% in FY26 vs FY25.
- Q1: Down by 1.8%
- Q2: Up by 2.8%
- Q3: Down by 0.3%
- Q4: Up by 2.5%
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In FY26, RE generation increased by 20% versus FY25. Large hydro generation increased by 11.9%; however, coal/lignite-based generation decreased by 4.3% for the same period.
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From an average daily generation perspective, the share of RE and Large hydro increased while that of coal/lignite decreased, in FY26 compared to FY25.
- RE: Share up from 12.6% to 15.1%
- Large Hydro: Share up from 8.8% to 9.8%
- RE + Large Hydro: Share up from 21.3% to 24.9%
- Coal/lignite: Share down from 73.9% to 70.7%
Figure 1: Source-wise daily generation
Source: Grid Controller of India Limited. Note: RE includes solar, wind, biomass, and small hydro, and excludes large hydro capacity (>25 MW) unless specified.
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In FY26, most RE stocks recorded broad-based value erosion, underperforming the Sensex, over a one-year period, from March 2025 to March 2026.
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Among RE developers, Adani Green (-15%) and Sterling and Wilson (-40%) delivered negative returns, underlining significant dispersion within the segment.
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Wind-focused companies witnessed sharper drawdowns, with Inox Wind (-54%) and Suzlon Energy (-30%), positioning among the weakest performers on a year-on-year basis.
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Borosil Renewables contracted by 21% during the same period, reflecting a correction in solar-linked equities, in consonance with overall sector performance.
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NYSE - listed Azure Power Global corrected by 29%, in line with broader negative trend across listed RE developers over the period.
Figure 2: Change in key renewable energy stock prices (indexed to 100)
Source: BSE Money Control
Note: Share prices are the last treded value in each month.
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In FY26, the monetary policy turned moderately accommodative as the RBI reduced the repo rate by 100 basis points, from 6.25% in March 2025 to 5.25% in March 2026. SBI MCLR (1 year) rate decreased 0.4%, from 9% in March 2025 to 8.60% in March 2026.
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At the same time, sovereign-led green financing gained scale with sovereign green bonds (SGrBs) worth INR 20,000 issued by RBI in FY26. The issuances were structured in four equal 30-year tranches of INR 5,000 crore each, at a coupon rate of ~6.98% each.
Figure 3: Bond yields* and key financial rates
Source: Reserve Bank of India, State Bank of India, Trading Economics, Bombay Stock Exchange, Money Control, and BondbloX.
Note: Bond prices are the last traded value in each month; *Current yield.